Kevin Cox' Selections And Analysis (2024)

Took it on the chin up top yesterday, but we had four nice Exacta Boxes of $176, $65, $26 & $9, along with a $137 Triple Box.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None

Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

#10 MR. PAPAGIORGIO showed some decent improvement when being hiked up in class second time out, and goes from the inside to the outside today which is one of our favorite angles for lightly raced maidens. Big time jockey change in play, and we dig that he's claim protected this afternoon. From a limited standpoint, Carlito is 2 of 4 with maiden special weight dirt runners who hit the board less than 45 days ago that are getting Lasix. The winners came back $3 & $17, & you may get some decent value here. #5 COMMANDER OF TRUTH returned off an elongated absence to post a solid figaro down at the Big A, and we like the confidence shown with blinkers being added off that nice effort. Obvious factor. #1 TRULLI WARRIOR has a best of 152 gate bullet staring you right in the kisser from the end of May, and homebred can most definitely be any kind. The only knock though, is seven furlongs is an extremely tricky distance for a first time starter breaking on the rail.

We have a couple of solid DRF Formulator statistics for the second half of the early Daily Double, so let's get to them directly. #8 PERFORM: Shug is a near perfect six of seven with optional sand starters who crashed the fiesta less than 38 days ago, and has a positive ROI in that regards. Additionally, this colt found the line first in his only second off the layoff routing try, and we see that it came from one of the outside two post positions. #6 DONEGAL FOREVER: TP wipes the competition clean whenever he takes blinkers off for the first time with those going long on the main off layoffs of 22 to 42 days, and the winners came back $3, $12, and $5 x 2. #9 TAPIT SHOES received the most unkind cut of all after winning in going away fashion last time out, and I'm sure he was thinking "Boy, that was some hell of a reward -- what if I lost?" Factor here, nonetheless.

#2 MY FRIEND LOUIE by no means disgraced himself when going over the blades for the first time a month ago, as he lost by just a bit over two lengths that day. Top flight pedigree tells us there's ample room for improvement today, and we think you should be able to get double digit odds here as well. From a trainer stat point of view, this outfit is 3-8 w/ allowance turf routers who missed the baccala less than 68 days in the rear, ( at 43 to 1 or less ). The victors came back at juicy $38, $7, and $11, and we would hope that this one gets a little bit of a sharper break this afternoon. #5 ADDICTED TO YOU was a bit tardy to the party in the comeback but came along honestly enough to pick up 12% of the pot. Bounce is always possible off the career best number, but we'd be remiss to exclude. #1 BIG NIGHT OUT rounds out the top three. OFF TURF: 9-6-4-5-16(MTO)

We don't have the best of reads on this deal, so tread lightly. #4 NOTAH has burned a bit of bread over his last quartet, but the speed figures garnered were honest enough, and switches to Irad in the spot. #3 KAN'T BEAT THE ROCK has undergone a trainer and ownership change since last in action, as Jacobson has been suspended. The body of work is honest enough, but given the nibbling nature over the last year or so, we'll keep beneath. #7 BOSS TWEED scored by a pole when dropping down in the land of platers three weeks back, and perhaps the light bulb can stay on for his first try against winners. NOTE: DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #9 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

#7 RUN CURTIS RUN hasn't gotten his Polaroid taken in more than a year and a half, but has fared okay at this trip and over the course, was a lively 21-1 runner up the only time he went from dirt to turf, and has hit the board in both third off the layoff jamborees. According to Formulator, Maker is the man when it comes to his locally based optional sod sprinters off sabbaticals of 14 to 35 days, as he is 5 fer 9 with that sort, and those who found the line first returned a Sweet $13, $30, $8, $7, and $4. #1 SECRET RULES tries the green stuff for the first time today, and as he is just as decently bred for it as he is with the dirt, we can see a scenario where he essentially replicates the speed figure from the most recent. #4 CITY MISCHIEF has yet to miss a superfecta in any second off the layoff engagement, and this lightly raised 6YO completed the Exacta in his only outing in this zip code. OFF TURF: 1-1A(MTO)-11-10-4

#6 SPIRIT PRINCE hasn't been seen since Turkey Time, but classy sort has never been out of the Triple, found the line first in his only try at this dx., and is in receipt of the miracle drug for the first time. Logical if sound and fully cranked up. #10 TIFAREEH showed zilch in the comebacker, but barn does okay with second off the bench returnees. Can make amends here. #3 HUNT BALL fell short by only a noggin when going on the lawn for the first time, and should be right in the thick of things once again. OFF TURF: 2-1-5-15(MTO)-6

We weren't quite sure why the #9 MAJESTIC RETURN was spotted on the turf last time out, as she didn't show a whole hell of a lot when setting her tootsies on it last year, and the bloodlines tell us nothing positive in that regards. But upon further review, we saw that the only time she went from T to D, she outran her odds in a big way when finishing third at 56 to 1. Perhaps they were looking to get some bottom in her for today. Slight edge in a race with no first draft tosses. #4 MUNNY'S GOLD has been MIA since showing in the Test last year, but went coast to coast like butter and toast in two of three starts off of a break in the action. Will take a bit of pounding at the windows, but must be left in the mix. #10 VERY PRACTICAL posted a lifetime best number when in the land of winners for the first time and has blinks added off that effort, after breaking tardily that day. NOTE: DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #1 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

#6 EL CAPI was visually impressive when procuring the diploma at first asking back in early December, and nearly hit the triple digit buyer plateau in doing so, which is extremely rare for a first-time starter. 2 of 5 next out runners from that deal returned victorious, but obviously the effort took a little bit of starch out of the collar, has he's been away since then, ( including having 3 months off the worktab ). Take a long look during the warmups. #2 PRINTRACK has proven to be a fantastic claim by Rudy Rod, as this gelding comes in today on a 10:6-4-0 streak, and could be the main threat to the above if that one doesn't fire. #3 KUNSHAN BRIDGE has a penchant for cashing some checks, so we'll toss in the hopper. NOTE: DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #4 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

#6 ROSES FOR DEBORAH is quite the win machine isn't she? The ol' gray mare has won 8 of 11 on the turf and synthetic, and that includes a score in a second off the absence spot. She is also a perfect two for two on the Mellon, and is completely logical in this spot. #2 KAUFYMAKER ( spotted tomorrow at Churchill, so check the changes ) is an extremely delicate sort, but has for the most part produced when asked, & should be left in all your rollers. #8 GAL IN A RUSH has hung up her three best speed figures to date over that amount of races, and should be in the mix in deep stretch. OFF TURF: 8-5-3-4-2

First of three Grade One races on the card today, and it's a slightly truncated but competitive rendition of the Just a Game. We were digging the prospects of #5 EVVIE JETS down in Louisville on Derby day, but we sure as heck didn't like those six to one odds being thrown our way. It didn't really matter, as she was extremely flat over the soft going --the fourth time from as many starts she's failed to win on such -- but there are a couple of things to hang your hat on here. Six yr. old has two wins and a placing from four starts on the Inner, and more importantly has won three of her last four races after having finished off the board. In that streak, the only non win was an extremely sharp runner up @ 7-1. Big, big shot to rebound here, and given the five headed monster entered by Chad Brown, there should be some inflated odds with this one. #4 COPPICE (GB) was a bit awkward at the onset in the aforementioned Kentucky race, but stayed on with it to finish second when losing by just a neck. Filly was an extremely easy winner the only time she was in a second off the shelf deal, and is sensible with these. #6 CHILI FLAG (FR) has scored in three of her last four, and can complete the "Pizza/Crumpets/Escargot" tri. OFF TURF: 3-1-2-6-4

#9 SPARKLE BLUE sure doesn't need to take her track with her, as this is her 10th different venue from just 17 outings to date. She looked pretty decent in finishing second on Oaks Day, and we like her ability to rate or send as well. Jock has a decent rapport with her, and we'll give her a tepid nod in a wide open heat. #5 AMERICAN SONJA (GB) placed right here at 10-1 last annum, and although she isn't quite battle tested, we like her propensity for grabbing a piece of the pie. #10 WAR LIKE GODDESS has been MIA since the Breeders' Cup, but digs the local waters, and has always done exceptionally well after being freshened up. OFF TURF: 9-6-3-5-2

#3 LESLIE'S ROSE only bested one horse and the chase ambulance in the Kentucky Oaks last month, but despite her having had handled a wet track before, that strip can be quite tricky when it gets sloppy. We're willing to draw a line through it, and hope for a little bit of inflated value given the fact that the top three are coming back. #7 REGULATORY RISK did okay in the just mentioned race, and may fair even better in going two turns over a good surface for the second time. #1 BECKY'S JOKER has been in absentia since flopping in the Adirondack, but there's a nicely hidden bullet from a month back for today's return, and we wouldn't be surprised to see Bobblehead have this one engaged early on. NOTE: DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #4 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Saratoga: 1-10 ( $3 ) Beatable Favorites: N/A Favorite's Win %: 3-10 ( 30% )

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 41-148 ( $297 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-5 ( 40% ) Favorite's Win %: 59-148 ( 39.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7665-20444( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4188-20908 ( $35,411.40 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7808-21030( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.3% against a 16.7% takeout

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): ( None )

Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

We begin the marathon 9 and 1/2 hour card with a wide open opener, and will give the nod to #7 VESPUCCI. After having hit the board in three or four starts to begin his working life, this colt goes two turns for the first time this afternoon ( or any afternoon for that matter ), and there is a solid DRF Formulator stat in that regards. Over the last 260 weeks, Reynolds has a wrap on the competition with his sand starters who hit the board less than 40 days ago, as he is a crisp four of five in that regards, with a subcategory of 2 for 2 right here. The winners came back $6, $3, $15, and $8, and we have no qualms with using at double digit odds. #3 GENERAL PARTNER ( cross entered yesterday, so check the changes ) hasn't been seen since early November, but owns the best collection of speed figures in the group, and is in receipt of the wonder drug for the first time. That last part is of some relevance, as this clan is three for four when doing such with those going two turns on the dirt, of breaks of more than 57 days. There is a positive ROI in that regards, with a subcat of one for one in Toga. #6 TOMMY TWO SOCKS was a going away Victor to procure the sheepskin down in Hallandale Beach at the end of April, and while a bounce is always possible off that big time effort, we'll chunk in at a solid price.

#4 STORM MIAMI (IRE) gave a decent account of herself when besting half the field in her North American bow back in April, and right off the bat, should move forward off that effort, which showed a small "Z" pattern. Speaking of small, there's a small trainer statistic in play here, as Walsh is 2 for 4 w/ locally based optional sod starters who missed the money 31 to 67 days ago and are written by T-Gaff. The winners came back $15, and $11, and this one rates a slight edge in another wide open event. #1 CAMERA has a lot of wood to chop to get back that million dollar purchase price from across the street two years ago, but has done some decent work this year, and with Smart Strike in the pedigree, we'll include in her first try over the blades. #6 SPALIDAY has improved with each passing start, culminating with a maiden breaking effort down in Ozone Park a month ago, and gets some improvement in the stirrups off of that tally. OFF TURF: 8-7-5-6-4

#5 GUN PILOT is a completely different animal this year, as this progeny of gun runner is but a length shy of having an unblemished 4 for 4 record. There's definitely a nice rapport with Torres, and not that the horse needs it, but the As-Man is 8:4-3-0 with those fitting this criteria. Deserving favorite. #2 ROTKNEE made every call a winning one in the New York bred stakes back in early May and has performed okay here, and in second off the layoff engagements as well. We have no problems tossing in with the six lb. weight reduction. #6 GUN IT posted a big Figaro in the most recent, and draws ideally.

#8 LUCKY SCORE has rolled three straight sevens since and including the Breeders' Cup, and while that may make you some baccala at the craps table, it doesn't get you diddly poo at the racetrack. That being said, he may have needed the most recent, had some traffic troubles in the sprint on New Year's Eve Eve, and the BC effort at 51-1 was actually a bit better than it appeared, given the congestion. We don't think Casse would send over an animal that's hopeless, and we'll take a swing at 15-1. #3 CARL SPACKLER (IRE) was a going away winner in his lone "true" second off the shelf jammie, and owns a two for two mark on the Inner. Major player. #6 KUBRICK found the line first in his only start on firm ground, and that's reason enough to include here. OFF TURF: 1-3-7-2-5

Extremely weak rendition of the Suburban here, with half of the field -_ including the favorite _- coming out of optional claimers. Aside from that, #4 CHARGE IT flattened out in the Westchester, but as this grey guy hadn't faced the starter in seven months, we are willing to be a little bit forgiving of that. Fella owns a one for two mark at today's distance of ground, and the Toddster is three or five w/ second off the bench graded dirt stock who hit the board 22 to 50 days back ( not getting Lasix at less than 5-1 ) on the stretch out. The winners came back $11, $4, and $5, and for what it's worth, he won this race last year. #5 TIME FOR TROUBLE has the sort of declining mark that we've grown to love over the years ( 31:11-4-1 ) as it tells us that he knows where the finish line is. Gelding is two of four in third off the layoff spots, and could be rolling with any pace to cut into. #1 SIGNATOR as good as any for the show dough.

We don't have the best of reads here, so maybe go buy yourself a $47 beer or something. However, for your rolling bet purposes... The #6 RAGING SEA shoots for the grand salami today, and given the solid mark at this dist., along with having placed in a second off the bench try when breaking from the outside, we'd see it as being quite feasible. #5 IDIOMATIC made every call a winning one the only time he was in this type of layoff spot, and it's simply impossible to leave a horse out that's won her last six races, and 9 of the last 10. #1 RANDOMIZED ( uncoupled barnmate with our top selection ) is a speedy sport who digs the local waters. Note the coast to coast win right here in a second off the bench try.

#8 VLAHOS was absolutely sensational when scoring right out of the box in Arcadia back in March, nearly posting a triple digit buyer at 14 to 1. Ridgling was freshened up just a touch for the Pat Day mile, and gave a solid account of himself when showing two spots behind your eventual Preakness winner. 6-1 is a pretty honest price here, all things considered. #9 NASH finished directly in front of the above in the aforementioned affair, but loses 4 lb.'s in a weight switch of that effort, so we will keep beneath. Cross entered today in Louisville, so check the changes. #2 BARKSDALE has gone all the way in his last pair, and although he gets an acid test this afternoon, we'll toss into the cookie batter at big time odds.

#6 STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) is an extremely consistent gal, as she's partaken in the Exacta ( so to speak ) in eight of her nine starts, with the lone blemish coming just before a lengthy sabbatical. She scored in handy fashion in her only effort after a hibernation, and don't worry about the fact that she's facing the boys this afternoon, as she's handled them quite handily as well at times ! 6-1 on an Applebee/Prat combination ? As Bijou would say - I'm in ! #2 ARZAK has won three or four, while having done well well at this trip, and on this course also. Can't holler at anybody taking a favorable view. #7 NO NAY METS (IRE) is a tad light from a BSF aspect, but has the hood added for the first time, and we'll toss in at 30-1. OFF TURF: 1-9-6-7-10

#2 NATIONAL TREASURE has been a completely different equine since flopping in the Awesome Again last September, as this Lidocaine Bob trainee lost the Breeders Cup' by just a schnoz then picked up the lion's share in the Pegasus @ GP in January, before securing a nice chunk of change with his 4th place finish in the 20 million Saudi Arabia deal. Timid selection in a competitive six pack. #4 BLAZING SEVENS closed out the triple the only time he was in a second off the layoff spot, and recently returned with a confidence building win after not being seen since Hector was a pup. We've seen Chad move horses up to Stakes wins after optional wins in the past, so don't sleep on this one. #3 POST TIME sure is a fun Maryland runner, isn't he ? 10,000 bred chap has won 8 of 10 to date, while never having missed the money. Can't dismiss.

What can you say about #5 PROGRAM TRADING (GB), as this boy is just a length or so short of pure perfection. Among his five wins, is one right here on the Mellon last year, in what was a dead game performance in the Saratoga Derby. We like that Prat took advantage of their being no challenge on the front end that afternoon, and we also admire this one's ability to rate just off the pace, or come from the back of the pack. Deserving chalk. #7 NATION'S PRIDE (IRE) has oodles and oodles of back class, and got the job done in the same race that our above did, the year before him. Looks to be the mean threat. #9 MEASURED TIME (GB) is a bit of a fragile sort, but has a win and a runnerup finish from two true starts off a L/O, and discount these connections at your own peril. OFF TURF: 2-5-7-3-8

Big race of the day is upon us, and we're going to think outside the box a little bit with #2 RESILIENCE. First of all, you're high on drugs if you think that Churchill surface was truly "Fast" on Derby Day. A disservice was done to all the bettors by saying such, merely for the purposes of increasing handle. There was definitely plenty of moisture in it, enough that by the time the big race rolled around, it should have been labeled "Muddy" or at best "Good". That being said, we weren't particularly fond of the middle move that Junior made that afternoon, but the horse was in fact 32-1, and lost by less than 8 lengths. But as he finished off the board in is only other wet track effort, we are going to focus solely on those starts made on a glib surface. And what we see, is an ascension of the speed figures going 57-76-79-80-90. So right off the bat who knows where his ceiling is in that regards ? Would it really be out of the realm of possibility for Mott to have this one sitting on a big time effort ? There are no true standouts signed on, so that's the line of thinking that we are going to employ. #9 SIERRA LEONE has yet to finish worse than second, and is impossible to toss. Enough said. #8 HONOR MARIE promptly gets a rider change after a brutal trip in Kentucky, and all he has to do is get back to the penultimate effort to make an impression here.

#11 NORTH END LADY has been MIA since late September, but the work tab for today's return definitely piques our attention a bit -- particularly that 47 flat bullet a month back. 12% Tagg is it when it comes to his turf routers getting Lasix of breaks of 65 to 500 days, ( 10-1 or beneath ). He's 4 of 12 with that sort, w/ a subcategory of 1-1 in 'Toga Town. The winners came back $6, $9, $12, and $20, and it's encouraging to see Flavor Flav get the assignment, as he's two for three when riding for this outfit. #12 ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY has been away since the fall, but gets a good pilot for today's comebacker, and is in receipt of the "Big L" as well. Rates a shot in today's second start on firm ground. #5 DOWNTOWN CHANNEL only bested one horse and the chase ambulance when getting her working papers in an off the turf event last August, and was actually vanned off that day. Turf pedigree is top flight, but it would behoove you to take a gander at this one during the warmups. OFF TURF: 8-13(MTO)-1-3-9

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 41-148 ( $297 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-5 ( 40% ) Favorite's Win %: 59-148 ( 39.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7665-20444( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4188-20908 ( $35,411.40 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7808-21030( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.3% against a 16.7% takeout

Today's Beatable Favorite(s):

Please visit the Old Friends at Cabin Creek website ( by clicking the image to the left ) and consider helping out, as every little bit counts! I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

We positively LOVE that they're having a Steeplechase race up here during Belmont week, as we've been a big supporter of the program throughout the years. In today's homage' to Beverly Steinman -- a grand dame' of the sport -- we're going to give the nod to #2 PROVEN INNCOCENT. This gray gelding from the Jack Fisher barn returned off a half a year sabbatical to get the job done against substantially cheaper. Historically, he's two of four in second off the layoff engagements, and today's pilot has done quite well for this outfit. #8 GORDON'S JET (IRE), ( uncoupled entrymate with the above ), has tried to run sans jockey in the last pair, but that's not completely legal, so will give it another whirl this afternoon beneath somebody that we're not too familiar with. Given the outfit, we have no qualms in tossing in at what should be a good offering. #7 JIMMY P has been grizzly in the last pair, but we like to be forgiving of pre and post layoff running lines, as perhaps something went slightly awry before the break, and perhaps they weren't fully geared up afterwards. That being said, he had a game placing in his lone start up here last year, and is a factor of sound and fully cranked up.

#7 KNEEDEEPINSNOW has been kept in jail since being bought for 40 large down in Lexington back in April, and comes back at 20% less than that this afternoon. The winner from that day returned victorious when next to action, improving in the speed figure department by 8.3%, and this clan is supported by a solid DRF Formulator statistic. Over the last 60 months, when it comes to their freshly purchased mid level sand stock off breaks of 51 to 54 days, they are 6:4-2-0 with that sort, and the winnahs came back $4, $6, and $7 x 2. Best work has come at today's distance of ground, and jockey trainer combo have been potent here over the last couple of annums. #1 TETSU, on the other hand, is moved up the ladder after the April 19th purchase, and makes all kinds of sense given the Beyer garnered from that day. #6 POPPY'S PRIDE was a visually impressive victor when making his first try off the claim, and is confidently hiked in class for today's followup.

#1 ANTONIO OF VENICE all the way. #4 DOC SULLIVAN has yet to miss a triple, and who are we to rock that boat? #5 GRAND OPENING outran his 35-1 parimutual offering when beginning his career in a stakes down in Ozone Park, and followed that up with a wire to wire score to procure the sheepskin down in Maryland next out. gelding has been working a hole in the wind since that day, & must be left in the mix.

#5 CAP FERRAT went coast to coast like butter and toast when getting her working papers down in Hallandale Beach two dozen days back, and although she may have outran her pedigree that day, we're assuaged by the fact that the shot caller has scored w/all three of his second time starters who scored less than 50 days ago on the dirt, and are 6-1 or less while getting juice. It looks like they will have to grab her by the tail to get the glory. #7 MOMMASGOTTAGUN can definitely do with any pace to cut into, and although she's a bit light from a numbers aspect, the 418 Tomlinson figure tells us to give her a second shot over a good surface to improve off that bow. #6 SPEIGHTFUL LILY has been beset by back to back layoff lines, and although you will need to take a look at her during the warmups, we can't dismiss given the two solid efforts to date.

#4 DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY got positively waffled at the onset back on 5/17, but before that he had been a part of the superfecta in 4 straight down in Oldsmar. Although the last two turf engagements haven't done much to get the pulse racing, we like to look anywhere in a maiden's past performances to find something positive, as they're maidens for a reason ya' know. That being said, the adjusted figaro from the overture was a 76.1, and it came without the use of Lasix. Jen Paragallo knows her stuff, and is a bit better than her stats belie. Bombs away ! #12 UNAUDITED nearly went all the way when coming back off a lengthy sabbatical in an off the turf event down at Aqueduct, and rates a shot in catching a firm course for the second time. #3 FOUR EYES is better bred for the green than the brown, and some of those dirt efforts ain't half bad. May shake things up beneath. OFF TURF: 11-1-2-4-14(AE)

#4 WHITTINGTON PARK hasn't shown a whole heck of a lot in the last pair, but found the line first in both ungraded starts just before that, and from a limited sampling, 'Miah is two for two with sand starters at this level ( not getting Lasix ) who missed the money 24 to 50 days in the rear. Slight edge in a deal with no first draft eliminations. #1 SHERRIFF BIANCO sure has proven to be a good claim, as this 6 year old has been a part of the superfecta in ALL 21 efforts since. Two placings from as many starts in this zip code helps the cause, as does a win and a runnerup finish in both second off the layoff jammies. Must leave in the mix. #3 DR. ARDITO has blinkers added for the first time, and you have to love the "declining" record of 16:8-2-1 as it shows that he has a nose for the finish line. This one also has done well off of this kind of layoff, as the three from four mark tells us, and our boy Flavor Flav gets the call.

We don't really have the best of reads on this deal, so tread lightly. #1 SENDERA has yet to set her tootsies on the green stuff, and although the pedigree for such isn't much, in this allotment we don't think you need to be much to pick up the lion's share. She's been a part of the super in 4 of 5 starts to date, and draws snugly for today's first attempt in making the second left. #5 STARTS NOW hasn't been seen since Turkey Time, but takes the biggest drop in the game today while losing the eye cups. Some of the running lines are pretty good, and this one must be incorporated. #9 BOSSY JEANS is another who's been away since the autumn, and is also now made available for purchase for the first time. Looking good if 100%.

#2 VENTI VALENTINE is an extremely consistent girl, and she doesn't need to bring her track along with her as she's done well at a various assortment of locales. She's done okay in Toga Town, and Irad takes over for Bobblehead this afternoon. Timid selection. #3 AMANDA's FOLLY was in the rear with the gear when returning off a five and a half month hibernation. May have needed that race, and barn enlists the services of their go to jock. #6 MIDTOWN LIGHTS shoots for the hat trick today, and given the way she's ascended the Beyer scale over her last troika, we'd say it's well within reach. We always dig horses dropping some tonnage off a tally, and she would be no surprise.

#3 MIRACLE MIKE returned off an elongated absence to get up by a honker versus optional foes downstate on May the 4th be with you, and the only other time he was in a second off the layoff scenario, he improved by approximately 8.2% in the numbers area. From a trainer stat aspect, shedrow is three of seven with allowance sod stayers who won less than 68 days ago that are 13 to 1 or beneath. The winners returned $4, $3, and $17, and fella has done his best work at today's dx. #4 LAUREL VALLEY went all the way the only time he was in a third off the shelf deal, and nearly did exactly that in Queens last time out. He'll be on the choo-choo early, and they will likely have to reel him in late. #7 BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD was a snappy first time winner 44 days back, and although he'll have to step up his game a little bit to best these, could pick up a minor award. OFF TURF:10-5-1-9-6

#8 OVERACTING ( a must for John Lovitz fans ) has been fairly impressive thus far in her abbreviated career, having never missed a superfecta finish, and that includes a win off of seven month respite. Filly drops a whopping 9 lb.'s off that tally, and while a bounce is always possible, we'd be remiss in excluding given the outfit. #5 MARVELOUS MAUDE ( "And then there's Maude !! ) was a snappy victress in her only second off the layoff jamboree on firm ground, and can't fault those taking a favorable view of this uncoupled barnmate with our top choice. #2 LADY JASMINE hasn't been seen since the day before some Cowboys birthday, but has given decent accounts of herself off a L/O, and may forget to stop if able to coast on an uncontested lead. OFF TURF: 6-1-2-10(MTO)-4

#3 CALDWELL LUVS GOLD was curiously spotted on the verde when returning from a2+ month break in the action, but we're thinking that was merely a prep for today, and here's why: Over the last 1,826 days, Cox ( Dig it. ) is a near perfect 5 fer 6 when going green to brown with those not receiving the wonder drug off layoffs of 31 days or less. The winners returned $10 x 2, $5, $6, & $8, and it's hard to ignore the unblemished two for two mark in "12866". #6 TOUGH LOVE TORRES followed up the solid win in her debut with a legit placing when facing winners for the first time, and that's something not easy to accomplish. As she came from the back of the pack in the win, and got smacked around in the follow up, Maker elects to slap on the hood today. When he does that, he's 10:5-2-2 in conjunction w/ those who crashed the fiesta 10 to 50 days in the rear on the dirt ( who are not receiving Lasix ) at 21-1 or below. #2 TRICKY TEMPER rounds out the top three.

#8 EYEWITNESS INTEREST enters today off a career best fig, and don't you never mind that it came on the sandy stuff, as his efforts on the lawn have been pretty solid as well. We like this one's ability to send or come from off the pace, and dig that the rider comes along. What can you say about #9 CITY MAN, as this C-Squared charge has been a fan favorite throughout the years. 7yr. old "horse", ( You hang on to those dangling participles, buddy !! ) is 11 for 32 lifetime, and we'd be Silly McGilly to exclude. #11 CHULAINN closes out our race, day, and abbreviated meet here at Saratoga. We thank you all for your loyalty throughout not just this stand, but all the years, and we'll see you back down at Aqueduct where we are currently showing a flat bet profit for the meet. OFF TURF: 10-15(MTO)-5-7-1

Saratoga: 1-10 ( $3 ) Beatable Favorites: N/A Favorite's Win %: 3-10 ( 30% )

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 41-148 ( $297 ) Beatable Favorites: 2-5 ( 40% ) Favorite's Win %: 59-148 ( 39.9% )

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win %139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7665-20444( 37.5% )

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4188-20908 ( $35,411.40 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7808-21030( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.3% against a 16.7% takeout